PBS或抽国盟后腿,行动党有望赢得首个内陆选区

【沙巴州选】

本次沙巴州选,行动党共竞选7个议席,其中的冰谷是唯一一个内陆选区。随着国盟与友党沙巴团结党(PBS)矛盾加剧,一旦出现内部抽后腿的情况,则行动党有机会在冰谷胜出。

三天前,PBS宣布与国盟达成协议,停止在担布南与冰谷竞选,改为支持国盟候选人。

国盟在这两个选区都是由沙巴国家团结党(STAR)竞选。双方达成协议后,看似解决了国盟与友党在这两个选区碰头的问题,但PBS基层却可能不满,而不会遵从党的指示集中选票投给国盟。

此外,虽然PBS宣布在这两个选区竞选,但选委会禁止候选人在竞选期间退选,因此选民明天仍可投票给PBS。换言之,选票分裂的问题依然存在。

更何况,在PBS与国盟达成协议的同一天,STAR即招纳两名独立候选人,而这两人都会在其选区对阵PBS。

若PBS觉得上当,则可能会动员担布南与冰谷的支持者,继续投票给PBS,甚至暗中投给行动党。

【延伸阅读】今分析:沙巴州选各家逐鹿,三条战线抢先看

三党候选人再次对阵

行动党在本届州选采用民兴党的党徽上阵。其在冰谷州席的候选人是彼得赛里(Peter Saili,见下图)。

彼得赛里是卡达山杜顺姆律(简称卡杜姆,或英文KDM)族裔,这次是他第二次上阵冰谷。

冰谷的选民架构是67%卡杜姆族、11.5%华裔、其他族裔11.6%与穆斯林土著9.9%。

2018年大选,冰谷出现六角战,但主要竞争对手只有3人,即STAR候选人罗拔达威(Robert Tawik)、PBS候选人吉诺([email protected] Allion)、以及行动党的彼得赛里。

三人分别获得的票数是:罗拔达威4552票、吉诺4387票,以及彼得赛里4233票,最终罗拔达威以165张多数票微差胜出。

若以得票率来看,三人在2018年皆无法取得超过35%的选票。罗拔达威当时获得或33.19%的支持,而吉诺与彼得赛里的得票率则分别为31.99%与30.87%。

本届州选,冰谷再次出现六角战,即寻求连任的罗拔达威、老对手吉诺与彼得赛里、爱沙党的阿尔芬索(Alphonsus Felix)、沙统的恩格(Engah Sintan)、自民党的祖利叶斯(Julius Favianus)。

【延伸阅读】2020沙巴州选:候选人与73选区一览

行动党感到选民善意

根据行动党冰谷竞选团队,在PBS与国盟三天前达成协议后,不少PBS基层感到不满,开始对行动党释出善意。

驻守冰谷的行动党古晋市国会议员俞利文接受《当今大马》访问时声称,目前有超过10个PBS的竞选行动室,愿意支持彼得赛里。

彼得赛里则向《当今大马》举例,选区内的闽南速村(Kg Minansut)村民态度改善。他说,比起第14届大选,这条村的选民如今对行动党相对友善。

“像那天晚上讲座结束后,他们选择继续留下来,也和我说话,没有一结束就直接回家。”

“平常时他们会直接打包(带走食物)然后就回家。”

彼得赛里也认为,随着这次民统(Upko)与民兴党+阵线一同作战,相信能为自己拉到更多支持。

须破除无证移民课题

行动党秘书长林冠英则向《当今大马》指出,“民兴党+”要拿下内陆选区,最关键还是要打破卡杜姆族裔认为民兴党是无证移民政党的误解。

在沙巴西岸,选民普遍上对无证移民(PTI)课题特别敏感,再加上民兴党主席沙菲益为仙本那的巴瑶族,内陆的卡杜姆族甚为抗拒民兴党。

不少沙巴本土领袖也宣称民兴党是个“无证移民政党”,甚至绘声绘影地抛出一个火灾的故事,指控民兴党协助无证移民获得公民权,以炒作本土和排外情绪。

林冠英形容,这种论述乃是一个“很危险的种族圈套”。

但他坦承,无证移民课题会是测试民兴党+能否赢下内陆选区的关键。

“最终还是靠卡杜姆社区,这的确是一场硬战。”

“但要是我们能够打破这个迷思,我们就能够拿到三分二议席。”

他也认为,若行动党能拿下冰谷将会意义重大,象征着沙巴人民想要集体改变的心声。

冰谷一共有1万7828名选民,他们将在明天早上7点半至下午5点之间投票,以决定新一届州政府。


《当今大马》从9月21日起至27日,开放所有沙巴州选的相关文章予读者免费阅读,以协助选民知情投票。您也可订阅《当今大马》,支持独立媒体,每月订阅费最低只需20令吉。


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